Panetta: ECB Should Adopt a More Predictive Approach to Monetary Policy
Fabio Panetta, a member of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank (ECB), has called for a change in the institution's monetary policy approach, stressing the need for more predictable and growth-focused actions. Speaking at a conference at Bocconi University in Milan, Panetta underlined the importance of adapting monetary policy to new economic realities, as inflation in the eurozone begins to stabilize and the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic gradually fade. Panetta argued that current economic conditions require a shift towards interest rates that are "neutral or expansionary", suggesting that restrictive monetary policy is no longer appropriate. He stressed that inflation is close to the ECB's 2% target, while domestic demand remains weak. According to him, there is a risk that, without sustainable measures to stimulate economic activity, inflation could fall below the desired target, creating new challenges for the economy. "Inflation is close to our target, but without a sustained recovery in demand and investment, inflation could start to fall, putting us in the face of an undesirable deflationary scenario," Panetta said. In this context, he mentioned that the ECB has undertaken several interest rate cuts in recent months, with the last cut in October bringing the deposit rate down to 3.25%. Elaborating further, Panetta called for transparency and clearer guidance on the ECB's future monetary policies. He stressed the importance of creating a safer environment for investors and consumers, by providing clear signals on the bank's intentions and future actions. According to him, a more forward-looking strategy could help stabilize market expectations, creating a more solid basis for economic growth. In his speech, Panetta noted that monetary policy should be coordinated with fiscal policies to maximize the positive effects. He called for coordinated measures aimed at boosting productivity and accelerating investment, especially in strategic sectors such as the green transition and digitalization. In conclusion, Panetta stressed that the economic stability of the euro area relies on the ECB's ability to be flexible and ready to face various macroeconomic challenges. He appealed for swift and well-decided action to support a sustainable economic recovery and ensure that inflation remains at the long-term target level.